Apparently, along with halting commerce negotiations with Canada, an further 10% tariff is to be utilized to imports from Canada. It’s unclear which imports can be tariffed (i.e., will USMCA-covered items be affected?).
Determine 1: EPU-trade from Baker, Bloom and Davis (blue, left scale), and Commerce Coverage Uncertainty from Caldara et al. (crimson, proper scale). Supply: policyuncertainty.com and Iacoviello.com.
To me, it is going to be attention-grabbing to see (1) how a lot measured coverage uncertainty rises, and (2) whether or not anyone believes within the sturdiness of Trump’s newest commerce risk.
