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Economy

Calculated Danger: Q3 GDP Monitoring: Flyin’ Blind is Scary!

EditorialBy EditorialOctober 31, 2025No Comments1 Min Read

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by Calculated Danger on 10/31/2025 01:58:00 PM

From BofA:

Since our final weekly publication, 3Q GDP monitoring stays unchanged at 2.8% q/q saar. [October 31st estimate]
emphasis added

From Goldman:

we estimate that GDP has grown about 2.2% annualized thus far this 12 months and 3.3% in Q3. [October 15th estimate]

GDPNowAnd from the Atlanta Fed: GDPNow

The GDPNow mannequin estimate for actual GDP progress (seasonally adjusted annual fee) within the third quarter of 2025 is 3.9 % on October 27, unchanged from October 16 after rounding. After final Thursday’s existing-home gross sales launch from the Nationwide Affiliation of Realtors, the nowcast for third-quarter annualized actual residential funding progress elevated from -4.6 % to -4.4 %.[October 27th estimate]

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