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Economy

Calculated Danger: Q3 GDP Monitoring: Mid 3%

EditorialBy EditorialDecember 6, 2025No Comments1 Min Read

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by Calculated Danger on 12/05/2025 01:04:00 PM

The advance launch of Q3 GDP has been cancelled. Q3 GDP shall be launched on Dec twenty third.

From BofA:

Since our final weekly publication, 3Q GDP monitoring elevated from 2.8% q/q sarr to three.0% The upward revision was largely because of the robust September sturdy items report that led us to revise increased our tools estimate. [December 5th estimate]
emphasis added

From Goldman:

We lowered our Q3 GDP monitoring estimate by 0.3pp to +3.5% (quarter-over-quarter annualized) and our Q3 home last gross sales estimate by 0.2pp to +2.6%. [December 5th estimate]

GDPNowAnd from the Atlanta Fed: GDPNow

The GDPNow mannequin estimate for actual GDP development (seasonally adjusted annual fee) within the third quarter of 2025 is 3.5 % on December 5, down from 3.8 % on December 4. After this morning’s private revenue and outlays launch from the US Bureau of Financial Evaluation, the nowcast for third-quarter actual private consumption expenditures development declined from 3.1 % to 2.7 %. [December 5th estimate]

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