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by Calculated Danger on 9/10/2025 12:47:00 PM
From Cotality (previously CoreLogic): US dwelling worth insights — September 2025
The 2025 spring homebuyers season ended softly, with slower worth development dominating the narrative and probably opening the door to extra consumers.
• Yr-over-year worth development dipped to 1.4% in July 2025. That is virtually half the speed of inflation recorded within the Shopper Worth Index that month.
• Month-to-month worth will increase have been nominal this yr and had been in destructive territory (down 0.2%) between June and July 2025.
• South Dakota noticed costs rise 6.2% year-over-year, getting into the highest 5 states with the very best dwelling worth development. The total checklist contains New Jersey, South Dakota, Connecticut, Rhode Island, and West Virginia , all of which proceed to file greater than triple the nationwide price of worth development.
• Florida, Texas, Montana, and Washington D.C. reported destructive dwelling worth development.
…
“July’s decline in dwelling costs is atypical — the final two durations the place we noticed month-to-month declines in July was in 2022 and through 2006-2008 interval — however this yr’s decline follows a yr of comparatively flat dwelling costs and chronic weak spot in homebuying demand,” Cotality’s Chief Economist Dr. Selma Hepp defined. “And regardless that worth weak spot has unfold throughout extra markets, 50% proceed to see costs enhance. The markets the place costs are growing are usually extra reasonably priced markets in Midwest, such because the Chicago metro; Indianapolis; Cleveland; Tulsa OK; and Louisville, KY; in addition to Philadelphia and the New York metro. On the similar time, Florida markets and people within the West proceed to see persistent worth declines.”
emphasis added
This graph from Cotality reveals the Prime 10 coolest markets.
The checklist is dominated by Florida and Texas. In response to Cotality, the very best danger markets are all in Florida.
Home costs are below strain with extra stock and sluggish gross sales.
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