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Economy

Calculated Danger: Q3 GDP Monitoring

EditorialBy EditorialSeptember 15, 2025No Comments1 Min Read

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by Calculated Danger on 9/12/2025 11:01:00 AM

From BofA:

Since our final weekly publication, 3Q GDP monitoring is up a tenth to 1.7% q/q saar and 2Q
GDP monitoring is unchanged at 3.2%. Listed here are the small print to our monitoring adjustments. [September 12th comment]
emphasis added

From Goldman:

Our Q3 GDP forecast stands at +1.6% (quarter-over-quarter annualized). [September 10th estimate]

And from the Atlanta Fed: GDPNow

The GDPNow mannequin estimate for actual GDP development (seasonally adjusted annual price) within the third quarter of 2025 is 3.1 % on September 10, up from 3.0 % on September 4. After current releases from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics and the US Census Bureau, will increase within the nowcasts of actual private consumption expenditures development and actual gross personal home funding development from 2.1 % and 6.0 %, respectively, to 2.3 % and 6.2 %, had been partly offset by a decline within the nowcast of the contribution of internet exports to GDP development from 0.28 proportion factors to 0.23 proportion factors. [September 10th estimate]

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