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Home»Investing»The pitfalls of evaluating portfolio returns
Investing

The pitfalls of evaluating portfolio returns

EditorialBy EditorialSeptember 2, 2025No Comments5 Mins Read
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The pitfalls of evaluating portfolio returns
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Investing can really feel like a leap of religion. You decide a portfolio. You deposit cash.

Then, you wait.

Bother is, it takes some time for compound development to do its factor. Utilizing the Rule of 72 and historic inventory returns, it takes roughly a decade for each greenback invested to double.

That’s loads of time for second-guessing. You could peek at your portfolio returns and surprise, “May I be doing higher?”

Don’t fear; it’s regular to query whether or not we’re making the suitable decisions with our cash.

However evaluating completely different portfolios could be tough. Variables abound. There’s the composition of the portfolios themselves, but additionally their charges and tax therapies.

So whether or not you’re sizing us up with rival cash managers, or with the inventory indexes you see most frequently within the information, we’re right here that can assist you stage set.

The ABCs of apples-to-apples comparisons

Let’s begin with a statistic we’re fairly happy with:

Since launching in 2011, our 90% inventory Core Portfolio has delivered over 9.0% returns*.

These are the returns of actual Betterment prospects, minus charges, and taking the timing of deposits and withdrawals out of the equation. This helps focus extra on the efficiency of the portfolio itself.

*As of 12/31/2024, and inception date 9/7/2011. Composite annual time-weighted returns: 12.7% over 1 yr, 7.9% over 5 years, and seven.8% over 10 years. Composite efficiency calculated based mostly on the dollar-weighted common of precise shopper time-weighted returns for the Core portfolio at 90/10 allocation, internet of charges, contains dividend reinvestment, and excludes the affect of money flows. Previous efficiency not assured, investing includes danger.

So, is 9.0% good? Nicely, it is dependent upon the comparability.

Inventory indexes just like the S&P 500 and Dow Jones dominate the information, however they’re hardly complete.

For one, they exclude bonds, a lower-yield staple of many portfolios. There’s a motive why whatever the portfolio, we suggest holding at the very least some bonds. They assist mood market volatility and protect valuable capital.

Secondly, common indexes additionally largely ignore worldwide markets. The S&P, for instance, sometimes represents lower than half the worth of all investable shares on the earth.

Our globally-diversified portfolios, in the meantime, unfold issues out in service of a smoother investing journey. We’re constructed for the long term, and historical past has proven that American and Worldwide belongings take turns outperforming one another each 10-15 years.

So the modest quantity of worldwide publicity in a lot of our portfolios means this: you are in a greater place to revenue when the pendulum swings the opposite approach.

Now, taking all of this to coronary heart is not straightforward. Not when the S&P returns 20% in a given yr. At moments like these, it’s completely regular to really feel FOMO when wanting on the returns of your globally-hedged investing. To maintain the religion, it helps to maintain the suitable benchmark(s) in thoughts.

Not all diversification is created equal

We’re not alone in providing globally-diversified portfolios. However two portfolios, even with comparable stock-to-bond ratios, can take very completely different paths to the identical finish purpose. Tax optimization, market timing, and fund charges can all affect your investing’s backside line as nicely.

Some traders evaluate suppliers by investing slightly with every, ready just a few months, then evaluating the balances. This type of trialing, nevertheless, might not inform you a lot.

In relation to our portfolios, you will discover higher comparisons in two explicit ETFs that search to trace a large swath of the market: ACWI for shares and AGG for bonds. See how your Betterment portfolio stacks up in opposition to them within the Efficiency part for any purpose or account. Merely scroll right down to “Portfolio returns,” click on “Add comparability,” and decide from the out there allocations of shares and bonds.

An illustration of Betterment's Portfolio returns user interface.

We present your “Whole return” by default at Betterment, in any other case often known as the portfolio’s complete development for a given time interval. You can too see this expressed as an “Annualized” return, or the yearly development fee you typically see marketed with different investments.

Placing your efficiency in perspective

Comparability could be the thief of pleasure, but it surely’s okay, prudent even, to guage your investing returns occasionally. A couple of times a yr is a lot.

The secret’s to keep away from widespread pitfalls alongside the way in which. Like evaluating your globally-diversified apple to another person’s all-U.S. orange. Or cherry-picking a small pattern dimension as a substitute of an extended, more-reliable observe file.

It’s simpler mentioned than carried out. That’s why we bake extra related comparisons proper into the Betterment app. It’s additionally why we produce content material like this. As a result of if there’s a silver lining to the sluggish snowballing of compound development, it’s that you’ve got loads of time to brush up on the fundamentals.



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