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by Calculated Threat on 11/28/2025 12:56:00 PM
The advance launch of Q3 GDP has been cancelled, and the 2nd launch has not been scheduled.
From BofA:
On internet, given the upper weighting of the months of Jul and Aug in quarterly client spending as in comparison with Sep, our 3Q PCE monitoring is down a tenth to three.1% q/q saar. This together with higher-than-expected Aug enterprise inventories left our 3Q GDP monitoring at 2.8% q/q saar. [November 26th estimate]
emphasis added
From Goldman:
We boosted our Q3 GDP monitoring estimate by 0.1pp to +3.8% (quarter-over-quarter annualized). Our Q3 home ultimate gross sales estimate stands at +2.7%. [November 19th estimate]
And from the Atlanta Fed: GDPNow
The GDPNow mannequin estimate for actual GDP progress (seasonally adjusted annual fee) within the third quarter of 2025 is 3.9 % on November 26, down from 4.0 % on November 25. After this morning’s advance sturdy manufacturing report from the US Census Bureau, the nowcast of third-quarter actual gross non-public home funding progress decreased from 4.4 % to three.5 %. [November 26th estimate]
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