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by Calculated Threat on 12/16/2025 10:33:00 AM
On a month-to-month foundation, retail gross sales had been unchanged from September to October (seasonally adjusted), and gross sales had been up 3.5 % from October 2024.
From the Census Bureau report:
Advance estimates of U.S. retail and meals companies gross sales for October 2025, adjusted for seasonal variation and vacation and trading-day variations, however not for worth modifications, had been $732.6 billion, nearly unchanged from the earlier month, and up 3.5 % from October 2024. … The August 2025 to September 2025 % change was revised from up 0.2 % to up 0.1 %.
emphasis added
Click on on graph for bigger picture.
This graph exhibits retail gross sales since 1992. That is month-to-month retail gross sales and meals service, seasonally adjusted (complete and ex-gasoline).
Retail gross sales ex-gasoline was up 0.1% in October.
The second graph exhibits the year-over-year change in retail gross sales and meals service (ex-gasoline) since 1993.
Retail and Meals service gross sales, ex-gasoline, elevated by 3.6% on a YoY foundation.
The change in gross sales in October had been beneath expectations and the earlier two months had been revised down.
A weak report.
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