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Bonds

Water woes weigh on Southwest muni issuers

EditorialBy EditorialDecember 23, 2025No Comments6 Mins Read

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Corpus Christi, Texas, bridge and tanker ship
A tanker sails beneath the harbor bridge in Corpus Christi, Texas, a metropolis dealing with water shortages which have pushed destructive ranking actions.

Adobe Inventory

Corpus Christi is experiencing the credit score penalties of dwindling water provides.

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Earlier this month, the Texas metropolis was hit with downgrades and destructive outlooks by Moody’s Rankings, which pointed to accelerated water depletion threat and a slender timeframe to implement options earlier than provide fails to satisfy demand.

The town’s water stress has been exacerbated by its leaders’ indecision over whether or not to construct a desalination plant.

In October, Fitch Rankings and S&P World Rankings revised their outlooks on Corpus Christi’s utility system income bonds to destructive from steady, signaling issues over town’s means to spice up its water provide. 

The clock is ticking. The realm is experiencing stage three drought circumstances that triggered water-use restrictions. A water provide dashboard on town’s web site signifies two western reservoirs shall be depleted through the first half of 2027.

Credit score pressures attributable to water woes significantly in western states will persist, in accordance with S&P World Rankings.

“Provide uncertainty and unmitigated water shortage have resulted in destructive ranking actions all through the west and southwest, which we anticipate will proceed,” the ranking company mentioned in its 2026 outlook for water utilities. “We anticipate utilities uncovered to water stress would require various provide to satisfy inhabitants and financial growth wants, which is often magnitudes costlier.”

It added that “failure to take care of ample provide can lead to acute liquidity threat and threaten the underlying financial system, as we’ve seen in Texas, due partly to Mexico’s continued failure to satisfy its obligations beneath the Utilization of Waters of the Colorado and Tijuana Rivers and of the Rio Grande Treaty.”

In November, Texas Gov. Greg Abbott blasted Mexico for failing to satisfy minimal water supply obligations beneath the 1944 treaty. 

“The numerous financial loss from Mexico’s failure to provide greater than two years’ price of water obligations—virtually 2 million acre-feet—has had a extreme destructive influence on Texas’ agricultural business,” he mentioned in an announcement. 

The U.S. Division of Agriculture introduced Dec.12 Mexico agreed to launch 202,000-acre ft of water to the USA, whereas a plan was being negotiated for Mexico to repay the deficit from the earlier water cycle to Texas.

Water worries also can limit growth in fast-growing states like Texas, in accordance with Howard Remedy, director of municipal bond analysis for Evercore Wealth Administration.

“Discouraging growth in a state like Texas — it is anathema to how they function,” he mentioned, including that water shortages have gotten an growing focus for muni traders.

Triple-A-rated Texas, the second-most populous state, had the most important numeric enhance within the nation between 2023 and 2024, including almost 563,000 individuals for a complete inhabitants of 31,290,831, the U.S. Census Bureau reported in December 2024. 

Corpus Christi is revisiting the inside harbor seawater desalination venture it halted in September as the price rose to almost $1.2 billion, and is awaiting proposals in early 2026 from a brand new design-build crew.  Corpus Christi Water, which is the first water provider for a seven-county area, anticipated the plant to provide as much as 36 million gallons of potable water each day. 

After the Moody’s downgrades, Metropolis Supervisor Peter Zanoni mentioned “town is absolutely dedicated to aggressively addressing the necessity for water provide diversification.”

Latest motion taken by the council to spice up water provides contains agreements to acquire groundwater and to safe 50 million gallons of water each day from the Nueces River Authority’s proposed seawater desalination plant, in addition to an $11 million deal to design a significant enlargement of town’s reclaimed water infrastructure. The town additionally introduced a residential water fee enhance efficient Jan. 1.

Final week, S&P affirmed a B-minus underlying ranking and destructive outlook for Clyde, one other Texas metropolis impacted by water shortages.

“In our view, town’s funds stays susceptible and would require favorable circumstances to stability it, given traditionally low nominal money balances, ongoing threat of unplanned emergency capital repairs, and water acquisition wants,” S&P mentioned in a report.

Underlying scores for the city of lower than 4,000 in central Texas had been downgraded to junk final 12 months after it did not make funds on insured debt.  In August, Clyde skipped a fee on a 2024 privately positioned mortgage used to pay again bond insurers, S&P reported, including the missed fee was rolled into an upcoming February fee.

Clyde’s newest annual monetary audit raised “substantial doubt about its means to proceed as a going concern.”

“The town has struggled to take care of its monetary well being through the 2024-25 fiscal 12 months with drought restrictions being positioned on prospects attributable to extraordinarily dry climate circumstances,” the audit mentioned. 

Some Southwest states have earmarked cash to hunt for water.

In drought-prone Arizona, the state’s Water Infrastructure Finance Authority is eyeing an preliminary bridge financing for its long-term water augmentation fund program, which was created by the state legislature in 2022 with the intention of appropriating $1 billion over three years to assist fund new water sources. Inadequate appropriations and money sweeps attributable to state funds shortfalls have left the fund with simply $379.3 million.

WIFA expects to problem a request for proposals for banks this week for a possible non-public placement of taxable variable-rate bonds, in accordance with a presentation to the company’s board on Friday. 

The transfer comes after the board in November superior 4 water importation proposals right into a research part and will signal base contracts for proposed water provide initiatives as quickly as mid-January.

These initiatives contain desalination amenities on the Gulf of California in Mexico, handled wastewater, and the event of aquifer storage.

Invoice Davis, a managing director at Piper Sandler, WIFA’s monetary advisor, instructed the board that long-term, fixed-rate bonds, which might be taxable or tax-exempt relying upon elements comparable to venture administration contracts and possession, would take out the variable-rate debt over a five-year interval. 

Preliminary discussions had been held with JP Morgan Chase and Financial institution of America, with extra banks to comply with, he added. 

“They appear to be very open to the potential bond placement,” he mentioned.

The most recent U.S. Drought Monitor confirmed principally abnormally dry to extreme drought circumstances in Arizona. 

Again in Texas, voters agreed lately to faucet among the state’s surplus cash to assist finance new water sources. A 2023 constitutional modification created the Texas Water Fund, administered by the triple-A-rated Texas Water Improvement Board, with at the least 25% of the cash allotted to a New Water Provide for Texas Fund to finance initiatives resulting in 7 million acre ft of extra water provide by the top of 2033. 

In November, voters accepted a constitutional modification that might increase $1 billion yearly over 20 years for water provide initiatives. The measure’s enabling legislation  expands the scope of the New Water Provide Fund by making water and wastewater reuse initiatives, out-of-state water rights acquisition, reservoirs assembly particular necessities, and water transportation initiatives eligible for monetary help. 

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