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Inventory Market Outlook getting into the Week of July thirteenth = Uptrend
- Common Directional Index: Uptrend
- Institutional Exercise: Uptrend
- On Steadiness Quantity: Uptrend
ANALYSIS
The inventory market outlook exhibits a seamless uptrend for U.S. equities.
The S&P500 ( $SPX ) fell 0.3% final week. The index sits ~5% above the 50-day transferring common and ~7% above the 200-day transferring common.
All three technical indicators stay bullish after a decrease quantity consolidation in the course of the week.
SPX Value & Quantity Chart for July 13 2025
PERFORMANCE COMPARISONS
Power ( $XLE ) outperformed the market index, whereas Communications and Financials ( $XLC & $XLF ) underperformed. Client Staples ( $XLP ) continues to battle discovering a course, falling again to bearish bias.
S&P Sector Efficiency from Week 28 of 2025
Most sector types struggled final week; Excessive Beta ( $SPHB ) outperformed, Momentum ( $MTUM ) underperformed. Low Beta ( $SPLV ) slipped again to impartial bias.
Sector Model Efficiency from Week 28 of 2025
Bitcoin rallied greater than 8%, as cryptocurrencies soared final week ( e.g. $ETHE , $OSOL ) main asset class returns listed beneath. Gold ( $GLD ) was surprisingly quiet, given the outperformance seen by different metals like copper and palladium ( $CPER & $PALL ). Bonds ( $IEF ) continued their latest slide decrease. Sadly, these strikes recommend inflationary pressures, none of which helps the case for price cuts. No adjustments to bias versus final weekend.
Asset Class Efficiency from Week 28 2025
COMMENTARY
Within the absence of main macroeconomic headlines, U.S. tariffs took middle stage. 14 nations acquired up to date tariff “letters”, starting from 25% to 40%, with a brand new implementation date of August 1. Markets took the bulletins in stride; simply the newest escalation within the ongoing commerce warfare.
However over the weekend, the U.S. introduced 30% tariffs on the European Union and Mexico; odds are it will provoke extra of a response from markets when futures buying and selling opens Sunday night.
Along with extra tariff headlines (we’re nonetheless ready on China), the newest inflation readings ( CPI & PPI ) are launched this week, together with retail gross sales and housing figures. Earnings season additionally kicks off, with monetary establishments reporting second quarter outcomes and offering their insights into the remainder of 2025.
Greatest to Your Week!
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Sources: Bloomberg, CNBC, Federal Reserve Financial institution of St. Louis, Hedgeye, Stockcharts.com, TradingEconomics.com, U.S. Bureau of Financial Evaluation, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
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