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Inventory Market Outlook getting into the Week of July twentieth = Uptrend
- Common Directional Index: Uptrend
- Institutional Exercise: Uptrend
- On Steadiness Quantity: Uptrend
ANALYSIS
The inventory market outlook reveals an uptrend for U.S. equities.
The S&P500 ( $SPX ) gained 0.6% final week. The index sits ~5% above the 50-day transferring common and ~7% above the 200-day transferring common.
All three technical indicators stay bullish after a second week of consolidation.
S&P Sector Efficiency from Week 29 of 2025
PERFORMANCE COMPARISONS
Tech ( $XLK ) outperformed final week; Vitality ( $XLE ) was the worst sector, dropping the prior week’s positive aspects. Healthcare ( $XLV ) fell again to bearish bias, becoming a member of Shopper Staples.
S&P Sector Efficiency from Week 29 of 2025
For sector types, Massive Cap Progress ( $IWF ) outperformed; Worth underperformed, with Small caps down ( $IWN ) probably the most. No modifications in bias final week.
Sector Type Efficiency from Week 29 of 2025
So far as asset lessons are involved, equities ( $SPY ) had been one of the best, whereas Oil ( $USO ) was the worst. Crucial occasion, macro-wise, was the U.S. Greenback transferring to impartial bias. Continued greenback power could be step one in the direction of a shift within the macro atmosphere ( i.e. which belongings/sectors present one of the best returns ).
Asset Class Efficiency from Week 29 2025
COMMENTARY
June inflation knowledge was combined, retails gross sales had been sturdy, and earnings season is off to a superb begin.
Headline and Core CPI elevated in June, although the strikes weren’t sudden.
| CPI (y/y) | Precise | Prior |
Anticipated |
| Headline | +2.7% | +2.4% | +2.7% |
| Core | +2.9% | +2.8% | +3.0% |
Headline and Core PPI fell in June, though Could knowledge was revised increased once more.
| PPI (y/y) | Precise | Prior |
Anticipated |
| Headline | +2.3% | +2.7%* | +2.7% |
| Core | +2.6% | +3.2%* | +2.7% |
Slightly greater than 10% of the S&500 reported earnings final week, and most are exceeding forecasts. These forecasts had been lowered in response to tariffs, however nonetheless a superb signal.
Federal Reserve Chairman Powell offers a speech earlier than the market opens on Tuesday, so anticipate some volatility. We’ll additionally see present dwelling gross sales and the most recent sturdy items orders launched through the week.
Finest to Your Week!
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Sources: Bloomberg, CNBC, Federal Reserve Financial institution of St. Louis, Hedgeye, Stockcharts.com, TradingEconomics.com, U.S. Bureau of Financial Evaluation, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
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