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Inventory Market Outlook coming into the Week of November thirtieth = Uptrend
ANALYSIS
The inventory market outlook flipped again into an uptrend, after spending a number of classes under key transferring averages.
The S&P500 ( $SPX ) rallied 3.7% final week. The index sits ~2% above the 50-day transferring common and ~11% above the 200-day transferring common.
The ADX moved to bullish, rejoining On-Steadiness Quantity, and placing the outlook again into an uptrend with 2 of three indicators indicating bullish worth motion. Institutional exercise was gentle final week; regardless of the rally again above the 50-day transferring common, not one of the worth motion met the factors for a brand new uptrend.
SPX Worth & Quantity Chart for Nov 30 2025
PERFORMANCE COMPARISONS
All sectors ended the week larger final week, with Shopper Discretionary ( $XLY ) main the best way with a powerful ~7% acquire. Shopper Staples, Financials, Industrials, Supplies, and Expertise regained bullish bias, whereas Communications, Shopper Discretionary, and Actual Property transfer again to impartial.
S&P Sector Efficiency from Week 48 of 2025
The features continued throughout all sector types, with Small Cap Development placing in a ~9% enchancment. Each class additionally improved its bias, with a majority now again in bullish territory.
Sector Fashion Efficiency from Week 48 of 2025
Bitcoin ( $IBIT ) outperformed final week, however all asset courses gained floor versus the greenback. Each Bonds and Equities ( $IEF & $SPY ) moved again to bullish bias as properly.
Asset Class Efficiency from Week 48 2025
COMMENTARY
Market members have been in a giving temper final week, pumping most property larger in the course of the vacation shortened week. Not sufficient institutional exercise for a confirmed rally, however not a nasty solution to finish November both.
There was undoubtedly broad participation within the features final week, however the decrease buying and selling volumes imply most breakouts have been most likely weak. Giant worth strikes on elevated quantity after a interval of consolidation is what you need to see when evaluating your watchlists.
Headline PPI from September confirmed no change, whereas core was down 0.3% y/y. September retail gross sales and Sturdy Items orders additionally fell barely verses final 12 months.
This week we’ll get ISM PMI knowledge for November, and a September PCE quantity on Friday!
Finest to Your Week!
P.S. In the event you discover this analysis useful, please inform a good friend.
In the event you don’t, inform an enemy.
Sources: Bloomberg, CNBC, Federal Reserve Financial institution of St. Louis, Hedgeye, Stockcharts.com, TradingEconomics.com, U.S. Bureau of Financial Evaluation, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, TradingEconomics.com
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